• 30-YEAR FIXED7.11%0.07 pts
    • 15-YEAR FIXED6.45%0.12 pts
    • 10-YEAR TREASURY5.10%0.26 pts
    • 30-DAY AVERAGE SOFR3.92%0.00 pts
    • PRIME RATE7.00%0.00 pts
    • CONSTRUCTION LOANS10.43–12.59%Indicative
    • HARD MONEY (FIX-AND-FLIP)9.99%Indicative
    • 30-YEAR FIXED7.11%0.07 pts
    • 15-YEAR FIXED6.45%0.12 pts
    • 10-YEAR TREASURY5.10%0.26 pts
    • 30-DAY AVERAGE SOFR3.92%0.00 pts
    • PRIME RATE7.00%0.00 pts
    • CONSTRUCTION LOANS10.43–12.59%Indicative
    • HARD MONEY (FIX-AND-FLIP)9.99%Indicative

    Grocery Outlet Sales Rise 0.9% as Store Growth Slows

    Grocery Outlet reported third-quarter net sales of $1.18 billion and lowered the top of its 2026 store opening target.

    By Alex Pham · · 2 min read

    The bargain grocer found more shoppers, but it is getting choosier about where it opens doors. Grocery Outlet said third-quarter net sales rose 0.9% to $1.18 billion and comparable store sales gained 0.5%, according to its earnings release [1].

    That is a turnaround after second-quarter comps fell 0.3%, Zacks Equity Research noted on Yahoo Finance [2].

    The store count

    • The chain opened 14 stores and closed none in the quarter, finishing with 561 stores in 16 states [1].
    • Over the first 39 weeks of the year it opened 31 stores and closed 40, including 36 under its Optimization Plan [1].
    • It now targets 30 to 31 net new stores in 2026, compared with 30 to 33 before, excluding plan closures [1].
    • Planned 2026 capital spending, net of tenant improvement allowances, stays at $170 million [2].

    But the closures still cost money. Grocery Outlet raised its estimate of total net restructuring charges to $22 million to $29 million, mainly because lease termination and idle property costs came in higher [1]. Gross margin also slipped to 30.0% from 30.4%, partly due to a Cyclospora outbreak that hurt produce demand [1]. Zacks estimated that outbreak cut quarterly comps by about 60 basis points [2].

    What it means for you

    By our math, the 36 closed stores equal about 6% of the current 561-store base, and each store averages about $2.1 million in quarterly sales. For owners of neighborhood shopping centers, that shows both sides: a tenant still adding about 30 stores a year, and one paying to exit leases where stores underperform [1].

    Zoom out

    Discount grocers are winning traffic, with transactions up 2.4% even as the average basket shrank 1.9% [1]. The company raised its 2026 comparable sales outlook to 0.2% to 0.4% and expects fourth-quarter comps of 1.5% to 2.5%, according to Zacks [2].

    This is market commentary, not investment advice.

    Sources

    1. [1]Grocery Outlet, SEC Form 8-K, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Announces Third Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results, Nov 10, 2026.
    2. [2]Zacks Equity Research via Yahoo Finance, Grocery Outlet Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Stronger Traffic & Comps, Nov 11, 2026.

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