• 30-YEAR FIXED7.24%0.08 pts
    • 15-YEAR FIXED6.60%0.08 pts
    • 10-YEAR TREASURY4.95%0.04 pts
    • 30-DAY AVERAGE SOFR3.91%0.02 pts
    • PRIME RATE7.00%0.00 pts
    • CONSTRUCTION LOANS10.43–12.59%Indicative
    • HARD MONEY (FIX-AND-FLIP)9.99%Indicative
    • 30-YEAR FIXED7.24%0.08 pts
    • 15-YEAR FIXED6.60%0.08 pts
    • 10-YEAR TREASURY4.95%0.04 pts
    • 30-DAY AVERAGE SOFR3.91%0.02 pts
    • PRIME RATE7.00%0.00 pts
    • CONSTRUCTION LOANS10.43–12.59%Indicative
    • HARD MONEY (FIX-AND-FLIP)9.99%Indicative

    Texas’s 20% appraisal cap on rentals and small commercial property expires Dec. 31

    The circuit breaker that limits yearly appraisal increases on non-homestead property up to about $5 million is written to end with the 2026 tax year, while the comptroller projects slower value growth in 2027.

    By Katia Clara · · 3 min read

    Texas’s “circuit breaker” limits how much the appraised value of many rental houses, small apartment buildings and commercial properties can rise each year, to 20% [3]. The law that created it states: “This section expires December 31, 2026” [2].

    Harris Central Appraisal District says the Legislature authorized the limit only for the 2024, 2025 and 2026 tax years [3]. Continuing it would take new legislation.

    The cap applies automatically to property under the value limit

    It covers real property that does not receive a homestead exemption and is valued at or below the limit, which was $5 million in 2024 [2][3]. Farm and timber land are excluded, and owners do not apply [3]. The comptroller adjusts the limit each year by inflation, rounded to the nearest $10,000 [2].

    The cap starts in the year after an owner’s first full tax year of ownership and ends on Jan. 1 of the first tax year after the owner sells [3].

    How the circuit breaker changes taxable value in the appraisal district’s example
    With the 20% capWithout the cap
    Last year’s appraised value$1,000,000$1,000,000
    This year’s market value$1,250,000$1,250,000
    Taxable value$1,200,000$1,250,000
    Tax at a 2% combined rate$24,000$25,000
    Source: Harris Central Appraisal District example [3]. Tax rows are our calculation at an illustrative 2% rate.

    Statewide values are growing more slowly

    The comptroller’s office, in a Sept. 30 release, put 2026 taxable value at $4.33 trillion and projected growth below the 6% to 10% yearly gains of recent years [1]. The same release credits voters with raising the school homestead exemption to $140,000 [1]. Taxable value for 2025 was $4.12 trillion, about flat with the year before [1].

    The comptroller expects taxable value growth to slow in 2027
    0%2%4%6%20262027 (projected)2028 (projected)Statewide taxable value growth, 2026: 5.07%5.07%Statewide taxable value growth, 2027 (projected): 2.53%2.53%Statewide taxable value growth, 2028 (projected): 5.66%5.66%
    Source: Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts [1]

    Market prices point the same way. Zillow’s Texas home value index stood at $296,424 in September, and the Houston and San Antonio metros were down 1.82% and 1.90% from a year earlier [4]. The cap only limits a property whose appraisal would otherwise rise more than 20% in one year [3], so falling prices make it bind less often.

    Texas home values have edged down for a year
    $296K$298K$300K$302KOct ’25Dec ’25Feb ’26Apr ’26Jun ’26Aug ’26Sep ’26Zillow Home Value Index, Texas, Oct ’25: $300,407Zillow Home Value Index, Texas, Nov ’25: $300,253Zillow Home Value Index, Texas, Dec ’25: $300,266Zillow Home Value Index, Texas, Jan ’26: $300,288Zillow Home Value Index, Texas, Feb ’26: $300,268Zillow Home Value Index, Texas, Mar ’26: $299,982Zillow Home Value Index, Texas, Apr ’26: $299,394Zillow Home Value Index, Texas, May ’26: $298,454Zillow Home Value Index, Texas, Jun ’26: $297,487Zillow Home Value Index, Texas, Jul ’26: $296,820Zillow Home Value Index, Texas, Aug ’26: $296,571Zillow Home Value Index, Texas, Sep ’26: $296,424$300,407$296,424
    Source: Zillow Home Value Index via The Portal’s Texas page [4]

    How to use this

    For landlords and small commercial owners

    1. Pull your 2026 appraisal notice and compare the capped value with the market value. Any gap could be added to your 2027 taxable value if the cap ends [2][3].
    2. Budget 2027 taxes on market value. In the appraisal district’s example, we calculate the cap saves $1,000 a year at a 2% rate [3].
    3. Protest a 2027 value that runs ahead of local prices. In Austin, Zillow’s index fell 4.31% in a year, and in Dallas 2.05% [4].

    For buyers of rental property

    1. Underwrite property taxes on the purchase price, because the cap does not follow the property to a new owner [3].
    2. Ask the seller for the 2024 to 2026 appraisal notices, the three years the cap has been in force, to see how much of the current tax bill reflects it [3].

    For investors tracking Texas markets

    1. Watch for bills to extend section 23.231 once the Legislature meets, and compare them against the comptroller’s 2.53% projection for 2027 values [1][2].

    This is market commentary, not investment or legal advice.

    Sources

    1. [1]Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts, Statewide taxable property value estimates, 2026–28, Sep 30, 2026.
    2. [2]State of Texas (via Justia), Texas Tax Code section 23.231, circuit breaker limitation on appraised value, 2024.
    3. [3]Harris Central Appraisal District, Circuit breaker cap, 2026.
    4. [4]Zillow Research, Zillow Home Value Index, state and metro files, through September 2026, Sep 2026.

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