• 30-YEAR FIXED7.24%0.08 pts
    • 15-YEAR FIXED6.60%0.08 pts
    • 10-YEAR TREASURY4.95%0.04 pts
    • 30-DAY AVERAGE SOFR3.91%0.02 pts
    • PRIME RATE7.00%0.00 pts
    • CONSTRUCTION LOANS10.43–12.59%Indicative
    • HARD MONEY (FIX-AND-FLIP)9.99%Indicative
    • 30-YEAR FIXED7.24%0.08 pts
    • 15-YEAR FIXED6.60%0.08 pts
    • 10-YEAR TREASURY4.95%0.04 pts
    • 30-DAY AVERAGE SOFR3.91%0.02 pts
    • PRIME RATE7.00%0.00 pts
    • CONSTRUCTION LOANS10.43–12.59%Indicative
    • HARD MONEY (FIX-AND-FLIP)9.99%Indicative

    United States data & analytics

    Every state and the 100 largest metro areas, side by side. Click a state to dig in.

    Now viewingUnited States

    11 of 51 states saw home values fall over the past 12 months. Biggest gain: New York (+5.6%). Biggest drop: Nevada (−1.6%).

    Key numbers

    Typical home value
    $366,157
    up 1.2%past 12 months
    Typical rent
    $1,932/mo
    up 2.7%past 12 months
    Homes for sale
    1,406,624
    Active listings
    Days to pending
    27
    Median days to contract
    Permits pulled
    1,083,662
    down 0.5%year to date vs last year
    Population growth
    +0.5%
    past year
    Unemployment
    4.0%
    down 0.30 ptsSep 2026 vs a year earlier
    30-yr mortgage
    7.24%
    down 0.08 ptsvs last week · national

    Stay in the loop on United States

    Get a short note when U.S. home values, rents or permits update.

    Fastest-growing state
    South Carolina
    Population +1.5% over the past year
    Most permits pulled, by state
    Texas
    150,609 homes authorized this year to date
    Best rent-to-price metro
    Jackson, MS
    A year of rent is 8.3% of the typical home value

    Metro areas across the U.S.

    Each dot is one of the 100 largest metro areas. Click a state to open it.

    Top metro areas by home value change

    Source: Data Provided by Zillow Group; U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates · As of Sep 2026

    All states

    Click a state to see its counties and metro areas. Click a column to sort.

    • 1 metro$833K +1.4%

      Pop. −0.1% · 2,592 permits · 39 days to pending · Unemployment 3.2%

    • 11 metros$762K +0.7%

      Pop. 0.0% · 83,850 permits · 24 days to pending · Unemployment 5.1%

    • 4 metros$655K +2.3%

      Pop. +0.2% · 11,156 permits · 16 days to pending · Unemployment 4.1%

    • 3 metros$588K −0.4%

      Pop. +0.9% · 29,182 permits · 31 days to pending · Unemployment 4.3%

    • 3 metros$575K +4.0%

      Pop. +0.4% · 21,568 permits · 24 days to pending · Unemployment 4.1%

    • 1 metro$567K −0.7%

      Pop. +0.3% · 1,577 permits · 32 days to pending · Unemployment 5.3%

    • 3 metros$533K +1.2%

      Pop. +1.0% · 17,775 permits · 36 days to pending · Unemployment 3.2%

    • 2 metros$529K −1.3%

      Pop. +0.4% · 23,744 permits · 35 days to pending · Unemployment 4.4%

    Rent-to-price is a year of typical rent divided by the typical home value (Fidelis First calculation from Zillow data). Higher means more rent for every dollar of price. Zillow publishes no state-level rent index, so rent columns appear for metro areas only. Permits are homes authorized this year to date. Metro areas are the 100 largest.

    Typical home value, 24 months

    +1.1%

    $366,157 in Sep 2026. Shaded: the past 12 months.

    Oct 2024Range $362K–$366KSep 2026

    Permits pulled by month

    Past 12 months

    1.4M homes a year at Sep 2026's pace (seasonally adjusted annual rate).

    Oct 2025Sep 2026

    Source: Data Provided by Zillow Group; U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey; U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates · As of Sep 2026

    Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey; Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®

    Population estimates are Census Vintage 2025. Unemployment is not seasonally adjusted; BLS data retrieved from BLS.gov Oct 28, 2026. BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov. Rent-to-price and the change over 3 and 6 months are Fidelis First calculations from Zillow data.

    National indicators

    10-year Treasury yield

    4.95%↑ 0.82 pts vs a year ago

    Nov 2024 – Nov 2026

    Source: U.S. Treasury, daily par yield curve · As of Nov 3, 2026

    Inflation (CPI-U, year over year)

    3.70%↑ 0.70 pts vs a year ago

    Oct 2021 – Sep 2026

    Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI-U · As of Sep 2026

    Housing permits (annual rate)

    1.4M↓ 3.2% vs a year ago

    Oct 2023 – Sep 2026

    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey · As of Sep 2026

    Typical U.S. rent (Zillow ZORI)

    $1,932↑ 2.7% vs a year ago

    Oct 2023 – Sep 2026

    Source: Data Provided by Zillow Group · As of Sep 2026

    Rates

    Change vs prior
    • 30-year fixed
      7.24%down 0.08 pts
    • 15-year fixed
      6.60%down 0.08 pts
    • 10-year Treasury
      4.95%down 0.04 pts
    • Loan benchmarks

      30-Day Average SOFR
      3.91%up 0.02 ptsNov 4, 2026
      Prime rate
      7.00%unchanged 0.00 ptsOct 27, 2026
    • Construction loans
      10.43–12.59%—
    • Hard money (fix-and-flip)
      9.99%—

    SOFR is rounded to two decimals, and benchmark changes are calculated by Fidelis First. Construction and hard-money figures are survey-based ranges, not quotes.

    Source: Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey®; U.S. Treasury, daily par yield curve; Federal Reserve Bank of New York, SOFR Averages; Federal Reserve Board, H.15 Selected Interest Rates; NAHB, AD&C Financing Survey; National Private Lenders Association · As of Nov 4, 2026

    The 30-Day Average SOFR is subject to the Terms of Use posted at newyorkfed.org. The New York Fed is not responsible for publication of the 30-Day Average SOFR by Fidelis First, does not sanction or endorse any particular republication, and has no liability for your use.

    Migration

    Census · IRS

    Net domestic migration by state, 2025

    Gaining people

    1. North Carolina+84.1K people
    2. Texas+67.3K people
    3. South Carolina+66.6K people
    4. Tennessee+42.4K people
    5. Arizona+31.1K people
    6. Georgia+27.3K people

    Losing people

    1. Illinois−40K people
    2. New York−138K people
    3. California−229K people

    Net income moving in by state: movers’ 2022 income, IRS returns filed 2022⁠–⁠23

    Gaining income

    1. Florida+$20.6B in adjusted gross income
    2. Texas+$5.5B in adjusted gross income
    3. South Carolina+$4.1B in adjusted gross income

    Losing income

    1. New York−$9.9B in adjusted gross income
    2. California−$11.9B in adjusted gross income

    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates · As of Jul 2025

    Source: IRS Statistics of Income, U.S. Population Migration Data

    Fidelis First is not affiliated with or endorsed by the Internal Revenue Service.

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